Brian Zinchuk is editor and owner of Pipeline Online
The Weyburn Unit could take more than four times more CO2 than it is now.
CALGARY, BELLE PLAINE – Back in 2021, with an ever-escalating carbon tax seemingly assured to remain in place, corporations with notable greenhouse gas emissions were looking for a way to reduce those emissions. One scheme that was developed was a “carbon hub” that would include most of the major industrial emitters in the Regina-Belle Plaine-Moose Jaw corridor, led by Whitecap Resources.
Well, a lot has changed since then, with the consumer carbon tax being eliminated as the first act of the newly-elected Mark Carney-led Liberal government, and Saskatchewan saying it would no longer enforce the industrial carbon tax (most of which was being paid by SaskPower, anyhow). And part of that fallout was Whitecap selling off three carbon hub projects, two of which are in Saskatchewan, to Entropy, a subsidiary of Advantage Energy, which in turn has a $200 million strategic investment agreement with Brookfield Asset Management. The announcement was made June 23.
This begs the question of whether or not Whitecap, which is the operator and majority owner of the Weyburn Unit since 2017, has lost faith in carbon dioxide injection. A story carried by AllSaskatchewan on July 25 could give the impression that Whitecap had largely lost interest in CO2, citing statements made by Whitecap CEO Grant Fagerheim in a July 23 conference call announcing second quarter results.
But is that really the case? Pipeline Online contacted Fagerheim and spoke to him on July 31 to get greater detail and learned Whitecap Resources is firmly committed to its carbon capture project near Weyburn, Saskatchewan and that the company continues to focus on attracting additional CO2 to and have the Weyburn unit run for decades to come.
Del Mondor, left, and Bronwyn Eyre, right, present Grant Fagerheim with the Oil Person of the Year award on June 1, 2022. Photo by Brian Zinchuk
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Setting the stage:
Here’s what Entropy said in its June 23 press release:
Entropy Inc., a subsidiary of Advantage Energy Ltd., has entered into a definitive agreement to purchase an interest in three carbon hubs from a Canadian oil and natural gas producer for $20 million and contingent payments of approximately $15 million (subject to adjustment) based on commercial milestones achieved by various projects.
The all-cash transaction encompasses a portfolio of strategic subsurface assets, along with associated commercial contracts, licenses, and other intellectual property. The acquired assets are the Belle Plaine carbon hub and the North Battleford carbon hub, located in Saskatchewan, as well as a 50% interest in the Rolling Hills carbon hub located in southern Alberta. The Acquisition is expected to close in August 2025, subject to satisfaction of certain conditions precedent. TD Securities Inc. acted as the exclusive Financial Advisor to the Vendor.
Funds for the Acquisition will be provided through the issuance of convertible debentures by Entropy under its aggregate $500 million strategic investment agreements with Brookfield Asset Management and the Canada Growth Fund, with no capital to be contributed by Advantage. All debentures issued to finance the Acquisition will be obligations of Entropy Inc. and are non-recourse to Advantage.
“We are excited to expand Entropy’s footprint into Saskatchewan and strengthen our commitment to the carbon capture and sequestration business in Alberta,” said Entropy CEO Sanjay Bishnoi. “This acquisition marks a significant step in our commercial growth. We are also excited to build relationships with new customers and advance existing infrastructure projects that will enable CO₂ to reach these newly acquired storage hubs.”
(Notably, Prime Minister Mark Carney is formerly the chair of Brookfield Asset Management.)
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Within Saskatchewan, the Regina hub was the most prominent and furthest along. It was first announced Oct. 21, 2021, with a partnership with Federated Co-operatives Ltd. That Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) was to incorporate CO2 capture at the Regina Consumers Co-operative Refinery and FCL’s Belle Plaine ethanol plant, with the intention to add other emitters in the general vicinity. Other emitters in the Belle Plaine area that would have the Entropy hub as an option would be Mosaic, K+S (Bethune), Genesis Fertilizers, Yara Canada and Gibson (Moose Jaw).
In late 2024 a CO2 injection well was drilled just south of Highway 39 and the CPKC mainline near Drinkwater, south of Belle Plaine. That well would be similar in concept to SaskPower’s Aquistore project, which went into operation in 2014 to prove out the concept of deep saline aquifer CO2 injection as a permanent storage solution for carbon dioxide captured at the various facilities listed.
Significantly, any CO2 going into deep saline storage, like Aquistore or at the new Drinkwater well may accrue carbon credits, but it does not have any actual revenue stream otherwise from the production of more oil. And according to Ministry of Energy and Resources, the math on using CO2 to produce more oil is roughly three barrels of oil for every tonne of CO2 injected. The math on simple injection into deep saline aquifers is zero barrels produced, but carbon credits accrued.
Having an alternative source of CO2 for the Weyburn Unit was a key consideration for Whitecap, as its initial contract with Dakota Gasification Company for over 1 million tonnes of CO2 per year was due to end mid year 2026.
But there’s a wrinkle with that. In 2008 the US government brought in a program known as 45Q, which would provide a tax credit of US$30 per tonne for CO2 used in enhanced oil recovery (in the US) and US$45 per tonne for injection into permanent storage without EOR, a la Aquistore or Drinkwater, but in the US. Under the Joe Biden administration those numbers were increased to US$60 and US$85 per tonne for EOR and permanent storage, respectively. That effectively put a floor price under CO2 purchases for North Dakota CO2 of US$85 per tonne (CAD$116.78 per tonne as of Aug. 6) For reference, while the number has never been released publicly, it is Pipeline Online’s understanding that the price for CO2 under the previous 24-year contract was in the range of US$30 per tonne, meaning this would be a dramatic escalation in purchase price for CO2. If Whitecap wasn’t able or willing to match that 45Q tax credit of US$85 per tonne, it could potentially lose more than half the CO2 going into the Weyburn Unit.
And if that wasn’t enough, the other contributor of CO2 to the Weyburn Unit is SaskPower’s Boundary Dam 3 Integrated Carbon Capture and Storage Project. Federal regulations calling for the shutdown of Saskatchewan’s conventional coal fleet by 2030 meant it was highly improbable for a mine to be kept open to feed one singular medium-sized generator such as BD3, even if it had carbon capture. But the Government of Saskatchewan announcing on June 18 that it would flaunt federal regulations and rebuild instead of shutting down its coal fleet has at least been a reprieve on that front.
So that’s the stage now set – a carbon hub largely inspired by federal regulations and carbon taxation is now questionable due to all these changes.
As reported by AllSaskatchewan, Fagerheim said in that conference call, “The return characteristics are miniscule relative to what we can get in conventional oil and gas production … Other than the Weyburn asset, developing new carbon capture hubs won’t be a part of our strategy going forward.”
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Fagerheim explains
In conversation with Pipeline Online on July 31, Fagerheim said, “So from our perspective, we believe that it’s a low margin business into saline aquifer storage versus safely injecting CO2 into partial depleted reservoirs like Weyburn. Weyburn is an awesome project with exceptional personnel operating it. The CO2 sustains the life of our oil reservoir. But when you’re injecting CO2 into saline aquifer storage, there’s no offset financial benefit. There is a cost to inject, but there’s limited margin for storing CO2 as a service.”
Asked what does this have to with the uncertain future of the industrial carbon tax and the output based pricing system, Fagerheim replied, “Well, the future is very uncertain. We decided, we can’t continue with the way the carbon pricing system is at this particular time, it just doesn’t make any sense, and it certainly doesn’t compete for capital with the oil and natural gas production business!”
“Entropy and their investment partners have different financial objectives than Whitecap so saline storage and the associated returns make sense for them. Whitecap is very supportive of aggregating CO2 emissions and ultimately being used for EOR.”
Ensign Drilling Rig 808 drilling a CO2 sequestration well due at 5:50 a.m. on November 8. The location was on the south side of the tracks along Highway 39, due south of Belle Plaine. It was also the most brightly lit rig Pipeline Online has ever seen. Photo by Brian Zinchuk
Asked if they would still want a pipeline down Highway 39 to bring CO2 to the Weyburn Unit, he said, “We’d still like to do that, and we still have the option to do that. We’re not abandoning the carbon capture business. We’re abandoning this specific project, as we did in Alberta, where we sold our Alberta projects to Wolf Midstream.”
Asked about the North Battleford project, which was clearly with Strathcona Resources, he said, “What we were looking for is different carbon capture business. Are there opportunities? Which are reservoirs there for offtake? We didn’t end up advancing those projects. The economics were just so thin. We can’t keep putting shareholder money at risk with limited returns. We’ve been doing this, trying to build new projects since 2017.”
That was the year Whitecap bought the operator stake in the Weyburn Unit, which until that time had been operated by essentially the same company, but under a succession of names, since its inception in the early 1960s.
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Coal rejuvenation possibilities
Since June announcement SaskPower would be rejuvenating its coal fleet, that also brings about the opportunity to reconsider adding more carbon capture units, potentially to other generating units at Boundary Dam, but also possibly Shand and Poplar River Power Stations. A presentation by Ministry of Energy and Resources senior research geologist Gavin Jenson this past spring to the Williston Basin Petroleum Conference spoke of the possibility of adding and incremental 73,000 barrels of oil per day through CO2-EOR if carbon capture was put on all the existing coal plants. That would involve deploying CO2 in multiple units across Southeast Saskatchewan.
Pipeline Online is aware the Government of Saskatchewan is actively considering additional carbon capture. So if they did go ahead, would Whitecap be interested in buying that CO2?
Fagerheim said, “Absolutely we want to be their sequestering agent. The pipeline is already built in. We want to continue to advance that project. We’ve got plenty of storage capacity, plenty more capacity to put CO2 away, and we can pay for it. In saline aquifer storage, the industrial emitter has to pay the hub to store their CO2.”
One of the prospects brought up in Jensen’s presentation was the possibility of employing CO2-EOR in the Saskatchewan Bakken play. Crescent Point Energy Corp. had done testing in the Bakken, but did not pursue it as the Bakken was sold, fittingly enough, to Whitecap as the company, then known as Veren, made its final exit from Saskatchewan.
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On Bakken CO2-EOR, Fagerheim said, “We’re reviewing that at this particular time.”
“We have to put science and economic analysis to it. Because we own and operate the largest project in the world, we want to put our scientists to it, not someone else’s. Not hearsay as to what anybody else did.”
He pointed out there are very limited amount of companies that have the expertise they have as a result of years of operating the Weyburn Unit. “This is all developed for people all over the world, right in Weyburn, Saskatchewan.”
He compared the differences between using CO2 for enhanced oil recovery and deep saline storage, saying, “But the challenge that you have with saline aquifer storage, is that it is relatively young or new in its history when in comparison.
“You’ve got such a long runway at Weyburn where you can safely store the CO2. It’s good product for voidage replacement. Ultimately, when you take oil out, you’re filling that voidage up with something, either it’s water and waterfloods, polymer with polymer floods and CO2 and CO2 floods. This is technically proven in this area.”
As for saline aquifer storage, he said, “We believe the science could be there, a high probability, but we were going to have to test that over an extended period of time, which meant more and more capital, and that was the challenge.”
Asked why such testing would be necessary, since the Aquistore project has been injecting into the same Deadwood reservoir since 2014, Fagerheim points out that has been at minimal volumes in comparison.
“You have a much greater volume of injected CO2. Aquistore is one thing, but it’s minimal volume, and It’s used as a backup,” he said.
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With reference to Jensen’s presentation of the potential of 73,000 bpd of incremental oil production across multiple fields in southeast Saskatchewan, several of which would include Whitecap areas, Fagerheim said, “For sure, we’re very interested in growing our oil production.”
“Our objective here, and we’re in lockstep with Premier Moe on this, is that increasing production in the province, and how can we best do that.”
“We have the technology on carbon capture, utilization and storage versus just carbon capture and storage. There’s a difference here, because we can utilize the CO2 as a resource. Our current Federal Liberal government seems to think CO2 is a bad thing. It’s not a bad thing. We were going to use it, as that’s where the utilization and storage came in.”
He explained, “The Liberals brought in this. We could capture CO2 and put it in aquifer storage, so we tried. We said, ‘Okay, we’re going to give it a try,’
“But now you’re relying on government funding, which I think is absolutely wrong. I don’t support it. These projects should stand alone. We shouldn’t have to rely on incentives from the federal government, taking taxpayers’ money and putting it into the ground. These projects, putting CO2 into partially depleted oil reservoirs for pressure maintenance, it’s a win-win, because you get more oil and you’re putting CO2 away safely. And it’s proven technology. So that’s what I’m a big supporter of, and still am.”
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